{"id":10239,"date":"2025-12-10T18:21:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T17:21:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/?p=10239"},"modified":"2026-01-06T17:12:20","modified_gmt":"2026-01-06T16:12:20","slug":"wirtschaftsausblick-tschechien-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/cz\/wirtschaftsausblick-tschechien-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00fdhled ekonomiky 2026: \u010cesko zvy\u0161uje progn\u00f3zy r\u016fstu\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Siln\u00e1 spot\u0159eba a stavebnictv\u00ed p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161ej\u00ed \u010desk\u00e9 ekonomice nov\u00e9 impulzy. Hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed roste ne\u010dekan\u011b rychle a dokonce i export z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 odoln\u00fd v\u016f\u010di nov\u00fdm obchodn\u00edm p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ek\u00e1m.<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gerit Schulze | Germany Trade & Invest<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hlavn\u00ed t\u00e9ma: Nov\u00e1 vl\u00e1da m\u00e1 ambici\u00f3zn\u00ed program<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Podle sv\u00e9ho programov\u00e9ho prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed chce nov\u00e1 vl\u00e1da sn\u00ed\u017eit dan\u011b, podpo\u0159it v\u00fdstavbu a ze\u0161t\u00edhlit st\u00e1t. Po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 se se sn\u00ed\u017een\u00edm sazby dan\u011b z p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f pr\u00e1vnick\u00fdch osob z 21 na 19 % a se zlep\u0161en\u00edm mo\u017enost\u00ed da\u0148ov\u00fdch odpis\u016f u v\u00fddaj\u016f na v\u00fdzkum. Modernizovat se maj\u00ed silnice a \u017eeleznice a firmy maj\u00ed b\u00fdt zbaveny \u010d\u00e1sti byrokratick\u00e9 z\u00e1t\u011b\u017ee. V oblasti v\u011btrn\u00e9 a sol\u00e1rn\u00ed energetiky chce nov\u00e1 vl\u00e1da v\u00fdrazn\u011b zpomalit \u2013 stejn\u011b jako u pl\u00e1novan\u00e9ho zaveden\u00ed emisn\u00edho obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed pro dom\u00e1cnosti a dopravu (ETS 2). Naopak podporuje rozvoj jadern\u00e9 energetiky. Bli\u017e\u0161\u00ed informace o programu vl\u00e1dy viz str. xx.<\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pot\u00e9, co N\u011bmecko ozn\u00e1milo, \u017ee od roku 2026 sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed ceny elekt\u0159iny firm\u00e1m z energeticky n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00ed, roste tlak i na \u010ceskou republiku. Designovan\u00fd ministr pr\u016fmyslu a obchodu Karel Havl\u00ed\u010dek ji\u017e nevylu\u010duje zaveden\u00ed zv\u00fdhodn\u011bn\u00fdch tarif\u016f pro pr\u016fmysl. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00fdvoj ekonomiky: r\u016fst t\u00e1hnou dom\u00e1cnosti a stavebnictv\u00ed<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u010cesk\u00e1 ekonomika jede na p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b vysok\u00e9 obr\u00e1tky. Ve 3. \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed 2025 vzrostl hrub\u00fd dom\u00e1c\u00ed produkt meziro\u010dn\u011b o 2,8 %. Vl\u00e1da proto zv\u00fd\u0161ila sv\u00e9 progn\u00f3zy pro roky 2025 a 2026. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hlavn\u00edm motorem r\u016fstu jsou v\u00fddaje dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed a boom ve stavebnictv\u00ed. Hodnota stavebn\u00ed produkce byla v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2025 po o\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed o sez\u00f3nn\u00ed vlivy o 14 % vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e p\u0159ed rokem. Kv\u016fli dlouh\u00fdm povolovac\u00edm proces\u016fm v\u0161ak nad\u00e1le kles\u00e1 po\u010det stavebn\u00edch povolen\u00ed, co\u017e m\u016f\u017ee brzy v\u00fdvoj zbrzdit. K r\u016fstu v roce 2025 p\u0159isp\u011bly tak\u00e9 stavy z\u00e1sob. Mnoho firem zv\u00fd\u0161ilo skladov\u00e9 z\u00e1soby kv\u016fli nejist\u00e9mu v\u00fdvoji cel. Tento efekt v\u0161ak m\u016f\u017ee v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce odezn\u00edt. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

V pr\u016fmyslu se produkce od ledna do z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2025 zv\u00fd\u0161ila o m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 1 %. Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd automobilov\u00fd sektor podle statistik dokonce m\u00edrn\u011b poklesl. Pot\u00ed\u017ee maj\u00ed zejm\u00e9na dodavatel\u00e9 z\u00e1padoevropsk\u00fdch automobilek. Klesla ale i tuzemsk\u00e1 v\u00fdroba osobn\u00edch aut \u2013 za prvn\u00ed t\u0159i \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed 2025 se sn\u00ed\u017eila p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm kv\u016fli poklesu produkce v z\u00e1vod\u011b Hyundai v No\u0161ovic\u00edch o 16 %. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Klesaj\u00edc\u00ed m\u00edra \u00faspor a vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed mzdy podporuj\u00ed spot\u0159ebu<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ve spot\u0159eb\u011b dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed se projevuj\u00ed odlo\u017een\u00e9 n\u00e1kupy z p\u0159edchoz\u00edch let. Spot\u0159ebitel\u00e9 profituj\u00ed ze zvy\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edch se re\u00e1ln\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f a m\u00e9n\u011b spo\u0159\u00ed. Ministerstvo financ\u00ed, kter\u00e9 zpracov\u00e1v\u00e1 makroekonomick\u00e9 progn\u00f3zy, o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 v roce 2025 r\u016fst re\u00e1ln\u00fdch mezd o 4,3 % a v roce 2026 o 3,4\u202f%. Zat\u00edmco v pr\u016fmyslu doch\u00e1z\u00ed k propou\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed, sektor slu\u017eeb a stavebnictv\u00ed nab\u00edr\u00e1 nov\u00e9 zam\u011bstnance. Nezam\u011bstnanost proto roste jen pozvolna. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Podle statistick\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159adu dos\u00e1hla d\u016fv\u011bra spot\u0159ebitel\u016f v listopadu 2025 \u0161estilet\u00e9ho maxima. Maloobchodn\u00ed tr\u017eby se v prvn\u00edch t\u0159ech \u010dtvrtlet\u00edch meziro\u010dn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ily po o\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed o t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 4 %. Z rostouc\u00ed ochoty dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed utr\u00e1cet t\u011b\u017e\u00ed i sektor slu\u017eeb. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investice by m\u011bly od roku 2026 op\u011bt r\u016fst<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Geopolitick\u00e9 nejistoty v roce 2025 tlumily investi\u010dn\u00ed aktivitu, zejm\u00e9na u v\u00fddaj\u016f na dopravn\u00ed prost\u0159edky, stroje a za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed. Naopak d\u00edky kofinancov\u00e1n\u00ed z fond\u016f EU rostou investice ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho sektoru. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vl\u00e1da od roku 2026 o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 op\u011bt vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edr\u016fstky hrub\u00fdch fixn\u00edch investic. Nazna\u010duj\u00ed to i zak\u00e1zky v pr\u016fmyslu \u2013 nadpr\u016fm\u011brn\u011b vysok\u00fd r\u016fst objedn\u00e1vek do z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2025 hl\u00e1s\u00ed kovozpracuj\u00edc\u00ed podniky, stroj\u00edrenstv\u00ed a v\u00fdrobci elektrick\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed.Prob\u00edhaj\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed investi\u010dn\u00ed projekty v energetice (fotovoltaika, bateriov\u00e1 \u00falo\u017ei\u0161t\u011b, posilov\u00e1n\u00ed distribu\u010dn\u00ed soustavy), ve v\u00fdstavb\u011b byt\u016f a hotel\u016f, p\u0159i dekarbonizaci cement\u00e1ren \u010di v oblasti dopravn\u00ed infrastruktury. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dovoz roste rychleji ne\u017e v\u00fdvoz<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rostouc\u00ed dovoz spot\u0159ebn\u00edho zbo\u017e\u00ed a vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ceny dovezen\u00fdch meziprodukt\u016f zhor\u0161uj\u00ed \u010deskou obchodn\u00ed bilanci. Nav\u00edc posiluje koruna. Meziro\u010dn\u011b kurz koruny v\u016f\u010di euru vzrostl t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 o 5 %. Hlavn\u00ed exportn\u00ed trhy \u2013 N\u011bmecko a Slovensko \u2013 nav\u00edc moment\u00e1ln\u011b rostou jen pomalu. Dlouhodob\u011b vysok\u00e9 p\u0159ebytky zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu se proto sni\u017euj\u00ed, a t\u00edm i jejich p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek k r\u016fstu ekonomiky. Podle Eurostatu se dovoz v prvn\u00edch t\u0159ech \u010dtvrtlet\u00edch 2025 zv\u00fd\u0161il o 4 %, zat\u00edmco v\u00fdvoz jen o 3 %. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ministerstvo financ\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 i v letech 2026 a 2027 rychlej\u0161\u00ed r\u016fst dovozu ne\u017e v\u00fdvozu. Obchodn\u00ed bilance v\u0161ak nad\u00e1le z\u016fstane v\u00fdrazn\u011b p\u0159ebytkov\u00e1. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Obchod s N\u011bmeckem op\u011bt nab\u00edr\u00e1 na tempu<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u010cesko-n\u011bmeck\u00fd zahrani\u010dn\u00ed obchod se  v roce 2025 vyv\u00edj\u00ed pozitivn\u011b. Podle \u00fadaj\u016f Spolkov\u00e9ho statistick\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159adu vzrostl n\u011bmeck\u00fd v\u00fdvoz do \u010ceska od ledna do z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed o 3,6 %, zat\u00edmco dovoz z \u010ceska o 6 %. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u010cesk\u00e9 firmy doufaj\u00ed, \u017ee n\u011bmeck\u00fd \u201eZvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed fond\u201c ve v\u00fd\u0161i 500 miliard eur p\u0159inese nov\u00e9 zak\u00e1zky \u2013 nap\u0159\u00edklad p\u0159i modernizaci silnic, investic\u00edch do klimaticky neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed energetick\u00e9 infrastruktury nebo vod\u00edkov\u00fdch technologi\u00ed. N\u011bmeck\u00e9 firmynaopak o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed nov\u00fd impuls d\u00edky nov\u00e9 \u010desk\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b a d\u00edky tomu, \u017ee se poda\u0159\u00ed rozb\u011bhnout kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 reformy. V pr\u016fzkumu AHK World Business Outlook z\u202fleto\u0161n\u00edho podzimu hodnotily firmy situaci v \u010cesku st\u00e1le relativn\u011b negativn\u011b. Za nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed rizika pova\u017euj\u00ed slabou popt\u00e1vku a rychle rostouc\u00ed n\u00e1klady na pr\u00e1ci. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Siln\u00e1 spot\u0159eba a stavebnictv\u00ed p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161ej\u00ed \u010desk\u00e9 ekonomice nov\u00e9 impulzy. Hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed roste ne\u010dekan\u011b\u00a0rychle\u00a0a dokonce i export z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 odoln\u00fd v\u016f\u010di nov\u00fdm obchodn\u00edm p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ek\u00e1m.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10226,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[308,22],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10239","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ausblick-2026","category-analyse-cz"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.0","language":"cz","enabled_languages":["de","cz"],"languages":{"de":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"cz":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true}}},"yoast_head":"\nV\u00fdhled ekonomiky 2026: \u010cesko zvy\u0161uje progn\u00f3zy r\u016fstu\u00a0 - 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