{"id":3769,"date":"2019-10-11T11:03:22","date_gmt":"2019-10-11T09:03:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/?p=3769"},"modified":"2020-03-25T17:13:05","modified_gmt":"2020-03-25T16:13:05","slug":"zukunft-automobilindustrie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/cz\/zukunft-automobilindustrie\/","title":{"rendered":"Automotive progn\u00f3za trhu"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
Automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl se pohybuje na pomez\u00ed krize a p\u0159evratn\u00fdch zm\u011bn. Jak vypad\u00e1 budoucnost bran\u017ee? Na to, co je pro mnoh\u00e9 v\u011b\u0161t\u011bn\u00edm z k\u0159i\u0161\u0165\u00e1lov\u00e9 koule, jsme se zeptali dvou odborn\u00edk\u016f \u2013z \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky a z N\u011bmecka.<\/h6>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>
\n

Ing. Jind\u0159ich Fri\u010d, Ph.D.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

…, je od roku 2016 \u0159editelem Centra dopravn\u00edho v\u00fdzkumu. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je \u010dlenem Rady vl\u00e1dy \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky pro bezpe\u010dnost silni\u010dn\u00edho provozu a v\u011bdeck\u00e9 rady ministra dopravy. Krom\u011b toho p\u0159edn\u00e1\u0161\u00ed na Technick\u00e9 univerzit\u011b v Ostrav\u011b a Vysok\u00e9 \u0161kole polytechnick\u00e9 v Jihlav\u011b. <\/em><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Je e-mobilita TEN trvale udr\u017eiteln\u00fd\npohon budoucnosti?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

E-mobilitu\nvn\u00edm\u00e1me jako jeden z mnoha druh\u016f mo\u017en\u00fdch pohon\u016f. V praxi pozorujeme,\n\u017ee se \u201eelekt\u0159ina\u201c v \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159e prosazuje v takzvan\u00e9\nmikromobilit\u011b, co\u017e jsou kup\u0159\u00edkladu elektrokola a elektrokolob\u011b\u017eky. V\u00fdznamn\u00fdm faktorem\nje ale zp\u016fsob v\u00fdroby elektrick\u00e9 energie. Je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9, aby se k udr\u017eitelnosti\np\u0159ihl\u00ed\u017eelo skute\u010dn\u011b\nv cel\u00e9m rozsahu \u017eivotn\u00edho cyklu vozidla . Nelze v\u0161ak opom\u00edjet ani jin\u00e1\npaliva, kter\u00e1 se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b v dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b na trhu tak\u00e9 siln\u011bji\netabluj\u00ed. Nej\u010dast\u011bji je zmi\u0148ov\u00e1n vod\u00edk, kter\u00fd je spolu s elekt\u0159inou a\nCNG\/LNG \u201ez\u00e1jmov\u00fdm\u201c palivem v N\u00e1rodn\u00edm ak\u010dn\u00edm pl\u00e1nu \u010dist\u00e9 mobility. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bude autonomn\u00ed \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed znamenat\nkonec soukrom\u00e9ho vlastnictv\u00ed automobil\u016f?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ve\nst\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00e9m horizontu, to znamen\u00e1 za deset a\u017e patn\u00e1ct let, rozhodn\u011b nikoli.\nDosavadn\u00ed v\u00fdvoj ale nasv\u011bd\u010duje tomu, \u017ee autonomn\u00ed zp\u016fsob p\u0159epravy spolu\ns neochotou vlastnit vozidlo m\u016f\u017ee v budoucnu p\u0159evl\u00e1dnout. Autonomn\u00ed\np\u0159eprava mus\u00ed b\u00fdt v prv\u00e9 \u0159ad\u011b bezpe\u010dn\u00e1 jak pro pos\u00e1dku takov\u00e9ho vozidla,\ntak p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm pro ostatn\u00ed \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edky silni\u010dn\u00edho provozu. Jist\u00fd pocit \u201esvobody\u201c\np\u0159i \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed automobilu \u010di motocyklu je v evropsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti hluboce zako\u0159en\u011bn\na zm\u011bna neprob\u011bhne skokov\u011b. Nap\u0159\u00edklad mlad\u00e1 generace ji\u017e tak net\u00edhne\nk vlastnictv\u00ed automobil\u016f. Roste z\u00e1jem o pron\u00e1jem vozidla na operativn\u00ed\nleasing, do pop\u0159ed\u00ed se zejm\u00e9na ve v\u011bt\u0161\u00edch m\u011bstech dost\u00e1v\u00e1 carsharing \u010di\nbikesharing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Co bude hlavn\u00edm produktem dne\u0161n\u00edho\nautomobilov\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu v roce 2050?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1me, \u017ee v roce 2050 ji\u017e zcela p\u0159evl\u00e1dne automotive jako slu\u017eba zaji\u0161\u0165uj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159epravu z bodu A do bodu B. Na z\u00e1klad\u011b individu\u00e1ln\u00ed objedn\u00e1vky k n\u00e1m doraz\u00ed odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00ed vozidlo. P\u0159i p\u0159eprav\u011b jedn\u00e9 osoby nebude pot\u0159eba 1,5tunov\u00e9 p\u011btim\u00edstn\u00e9 vozidlo, ale kup\u0159\u00edkladu jen 350kilogramov\u00e9. To v\u00fdznamn\u011b sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed provozn\u00ed n\u00e1klady i emise. Vozidla budou, mimo nab\u00edjen\u00ed a p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b \u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed pohonn\u00fdch hmot, prakticky st\u00e1le v pohybu. V\u00fdsledek? Vozidla budu nap\u0159\u00edklad ji\u017e po dvou letech ekologicky likvidov\u00e1na a nahrazena nov\u00fdmi, vysp\u011blej\u0161\u00edmi, a t\u00edm p\u00e1dem i bezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi. Hlavn\u00edm c\u00edlem je p\u0159i tom maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost. Revoluce v oblasti automotive, na jej\u00edm\u017e prahu stoj\u00edme, k n\u011bmu jist\u011b v\u00fdrazn\u011b p\u0159isp\u011bje. Bezpe\u010dnost ale nelze vy\u0159e\u0161it pouze zlep\u0161en\u00edm, by\u0165 v\u00fdrazn\u00fdm, jednoho prvku syst\u00e9mu. Nesm\u00edme opomenout dopravn\u00ed infrastrukturu a vliv lidsk\u00e9ho faktoru.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Centrum dopravn\u00edho v\u00fdzkumu <\/em><\/strong>s\u00eddl\u00ed v Brn\u011b a m\u00e1 v\u00edce ne\u017e 60letou tradici. Pokr\u00fdv\u00e1 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 pot\u0159eby rozvoje dopravy v \u010cesk\u00e9 republice. Mezi n\u011b pat\u0159\u00ed efektivn\u00ed doprava a jej\u00ed pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed, sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed nehodovosti, udr\u017eitelnost dopravn\u00edch staveb, sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed z\u00e1t\u011b\u017ee \u017eivotn\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed, dopravn\u00ed in\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed, vliv lidsk\u00e9ho fakturu v doprav\u011b, inteligentn\u00ed \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed dopravy a tak\u00e9 nov\u00e9 technologie jako autonomn\u00ed syst\u00e9my a hyperloop. \u00dast\u0159edn\u00edm sloganem centra od lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku je \u201eDoprava pro budoucnost\u201c. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>
\n

Prof. Dr. Barbara Lenz<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

…vedouc\u00ed pracovn\u00ed skupiny 2 \u201eAlternativn\u00ed pohony a paliva pro udr\u017eitelnou mobilitu\u201c N\u00e1rodn\u00ed platformy Budoucnost mobility \/ vedouc\u00ed Institutu pro v\u00fdzkum dopravy, N\u011bmeck\u00e9 centrum pro leteckou a kosmickou dopravu (Deutsches Zentrum f\u00fcr Luft- und Raumfahrt  e. V. \u2013 DLR). <\/em><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jak\u00e9 jsou alternativn\u00ed pohony a paliva pro udr\u017eitelnou mobilitu?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nebude jeden konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed typ pohonu nebo paliva, kter\u00fd by mohl vy\u0159e\u0161it v\u00fdzvy sektoru mobility. Nam\u00edsto toho je pot\u0159eba naj\u00edt spr\u00e1vn\u00fd technologick\u00fd mix, kter\u00fd by nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed m\u011brou p\u0159isp\u011bl ke sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed emis\u00ed CO2<\/sub>. Nyn\u00ed to vypad\u00e1, \u017ee se rychle rozv\u00edj\u00ed trh s elektromobilitou. Toto \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed je ale, minim\u00e1ln\u011b prozat\u00edm, omezeno pouze na osobn\u00ed automobily. Pro jin\u00e9 oblasti dopravy jako nap\u0159\u00edklad n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed dopravu nebo d\u00e1lkov\u00e9 lety se mus\u00ed naj\u00edt jin\u00e1 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed.
P\u0159itom by se nem\u011blo p\u0159ehl\u00ed\u017eet, \u017ee inovativn\u00ed technologie jsou sice pro sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed emis\u00ed nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, nezbytn\u00e9 ale je, aby je akceptovali u\u017eivatel\u00e9. Bez \u0161irok\u00e9 podpory ve\u0159ejnosti budou nov\u00e9 technologie vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1ny nanejv\u00fd\u0161 okrajov\u011b. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prvn\u00ed kr\u00e1tk\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va pracovn\u00ed\nskupiny 2 \u201eElektromobilita. Palivov\u00fd \u010dl\u00e1nek. Alternativn\u00ed paliva \u2013 mo\u017enosti\nvyu\u017eit\u00ed z technologick\u00e9ho hlediska\u201c vyjde na podzim roku 2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00e1rodn\u00ed platformu pro budoucnost mobility <\/em><\/strong>(NPM) zalo\u017eila v roce 2018 n\u011bmeck\u00e1 spolkov\u00e1 vl\u00e1da a je \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edm m\u00edstem pro diskuzi o strategick\u00fdch rozhodnut\u00edch v oblasti mobility. V celkem \u0161esti pracovn\u00edch skupin\u00e1ch se odborn\u00edci z nejr\u016fzn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch obor\u016f zab\u00fdvaj\u00ed centr\u00e1ln\u00edm v\u00fdvojem v oblasti dopravy. Pracovn\u00ed skupiny diskutuj\u00ed o technologicky neutr\u00e1ln\u00edch mo\u017enostech opat\u0159en\u00ed a formuluj\u00ed doporu\u010den\u00ed pro spolkovou vl\u00e1du. Akt\u00e9\u0159i pod\u00edlej\u00edc\u00ed se na platform\u011b pracuj\u00ed nez\u00e1visle a bezplatn\u011b.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n


<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl se pohybuje na pomez\u00ed krize a p\u0159evratn\u00fdch zm\u011bn. Jak vypad\u00e1 budoucnost bran\u017ee? Na to, co je pro mnoh\u00e9 v\u011b\u0161t\u011bn\u00edm z k\u0159i\u0161\u0165\u00e1lov\u00e9 koule, jsme se zeptali dvou odborn\u00edk\u016f \u2013z \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky a z N\u011bmecka.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3797,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[208,19],"tags":[162,173],"class_list":["post-3769","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-plus-04-2019","category-die-frageotazka","tag-mobilitaet","tag-autoindustrie"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.0","language":"cz","enabled_languages":["de","cz"],"languages":{"de":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"cz":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true}}},"yoast_head":"\nZukunft der Automobilindustrie: Interview - Magazin Plus<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/zukunft-automobilindustrie\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Automotive progn\u00f3za trhu - Plus\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/zukunft-automobilindustrie\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Plus\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-10-11T09:03:22+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-03-25T16:13:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/eMagazin_Titelbild_Frage.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"683\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Plus\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Plus\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"9 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/zukunft-automobilindustrie\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/zukunft-automobilindustrie\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Plus\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/#\/schema\/person\/37cd14efd2ba64045e168f219e9bd960\"},\"headline\":\"Automotive progn\u00f3za trhu\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-10-11T09:03:22+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-03-25T16:13:05+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/zukunft-automobilindustrie\/\"},\"wordCount\":1796,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/zukunft-automobilindustrie\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/eMagazin_Titelbild_Frage.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Mobilit\u00e4t\",\"Autoindustrie\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Mobilita - 04\/2019\",\"Ot\u00e1zka\"],\"inLanguage\":\"cz\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/zukunft-automobilindustrie\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/zukunft-automobilindustrie\/\",\"name\":\"Zukunft der Automobilindustrie: Interview - Magazin Plus\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/zukunft-automobilindustrie\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/zukunft-automobilindustrie\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/eMagazin_Titelbild_Frage.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-10-11T09:03:22+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-03-25T16:13:05+00:00\",\"description\":\"Zwischen Krise und Umbruch: Wie geht es weiter mit der Automobilindustrie? 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