{"id":942,"date":"2017-09-29T01:55:50","date_gmt":"2017-09-28T23:55:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/?p=942"},"modified":"2020-03-26T14:55:29","modified_gmt":"2020-03-26T13:55:29","slug":"mobilitaet-deutschland","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/emagazin.plus\/cz\/mobilitaet-deutschland\/","title":{"rendered":"Budoucnost automobil\u016f a mobility v N\u011bmecku"},"content":{"rendered":"

Matthias Wissmann, prezident n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho <\/strong>Svazu automobilov\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu (VDA) a\u00a0<\/strong>Kurt Sigl, prezident N\u011bmeck\u00e9ho svazu e-mobility (BEM)<\/strong><\/p>\n

VW, Mercedes, Audi, BMW, Porsche\u2026 Z\u00a0mont\u00e1\u017en\u00edch linek sjede v\u00a0N\u011bmecku ka\u017ed\u00fdm rokem t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u0161est milion\u016f vozidel, automobilky a jejich dodavatel\u00e9 zam\u011bstn\u00e1vaj\u00ed p\u0159es 800 tis\u00edc lid\u00ed. Pro cel\u00e9 n\u011bmeck\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed je automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl nepostradateln\u00fd, v\u00edce ne\u017e jak\u00e9koli jin\u00e9 odv\u011btv\u00ed ale dnes stoj\u00ed p\u0159ed z\u00e1sadn\u00edmi zm\u011bnami. Kam kr\u00e1\u010d\u00ed n\u011bmeck\u00fd automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl? Na to jsme se ptali \u0161\u00e9f\u016f n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho Svazu automobilov\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu (VDA) a N\u011bmeck\u00e9ho svazu e-mobility (BEM).<\/em><\/p>\n

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Role spalovac\u00edho motoru?<\/span><\/h4>\n
\"\"
Matthias Wissmann, Pr\u00e4sident Verband der Automobilindustrie (VDA)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

MW<\/em><\/strong>: Jsem p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den o tom, \u017ee spalovac\u00ed motor, a to hlavn\u011b dieselov\u00fd, bude i nad\u00e1le hr\u00e1t d\u016fle\u017eitou roli. Pokud maj\u00ed b\u00fdt dosa\u017eeny c\u00edle sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed emis\u00ed CO2<\/sub>, kter\u00e9 p\u0159ijala EU, jsou modern\u00ed dieselov\u00e9 motory, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm ty s\u00a0n\u00edzk\u00fdmi emisemi \u010d\u00e1stic, ve st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00e9m \u010dasov\u00e9m horizontu d\u00edky n\u00edzk\u00e9 spot\u0159eb\u011b nenahraditeln\u00e9. Diesel m\u00e1 oproti srovnateln\u00e9mu benzinov\u00e9mu motoru a\u017e o 25 procent ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed spot\u0159ebu paliva a a\u017e o 15 procent ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed emise CO2<\/sub>. Vedle alternativn\u00edch pohon\u016f se v mobilit\u011b budoucnosti bez vlivu na klima m\u016f\u017ee uplatnit tak\u00e9 syntetick\u00e1 nafta, kter\u00e1 se vyr\u00e1b\u00ed z vody a CO2<\/sub> bez pou\u017eit\u00ed ropy a je uhl\u00edkov\u011b neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Kurt Sigl, Pr\u00e4sident Bundesverband eMobilit\u00e4t e.V.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

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KS<\/em><\/strong>: Spalovac\u00ed motor byl a je motorem mobility, n\u00e1kladn\u00ed dopravy a mobiln\u00edch pracovn\u00edch stroj\u016f. Jeho roli postupn\u011b p\u0159eb\u00edraj\u00ed alternativn\u00ed pohony a n\u011bkdy v budoucnu jej zcela nahrad\u00ed. Vzhledem k\u00a0emis\u00edm oxid\u016f dus\u00edku a CO2<\/sub>, kter\u00e9 vznikaj\u00ed p\u0159i spalov\u00e1n\u00ed nafty a benz\u00ednu, a ten\u010d\u00edc\u00edm se z\u00e1sob\u00e1m ropy jsou ov\u0161em progn\u00f3zy budouc\u00edho v\u00fdvoje nep\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9. P\u0159i v\u00fdrob\u011b plast\u016f a l\u00e9k\u016f nelze podle poznatk\u016f sou\u010dasn\u00e9 v\u011bdy ropu ni\u010d\u00edm nahradit. Spalov\u00e1n\u00ed ropy by proto bylo asi t\u00edm nejhloup\u011bj\u0161\u00edm zp\u016fsobem jej\u00edho vyu\u017eit\u00ed.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Role elektromobility?<\/span><\/h4>\n

MW<\/em>:\u00a0<\/strong>Elektromobilita je na vzestupu. N\u011bme\u010dt\u00ed v\u00fdrobci zd\u016fraznili, \u017ee podle v\u0161ech p\u0159edpoklad\u016f bude m\u00edt do roku 2025 na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b 15-25 procent nov\u011b registrovan\u00fdch vozidel elektrick\u00fd pohon. N\u011bmeck\u00e9 firmy proto vedle digitalizace masivn\u011b investuj\u00ed do alternativn\u00edch pohon\u016f, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm do e-mobility. Celkem pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed do roku 2020 investovat cca 40 miliard eur. V\u00a0N\u011bmecku tvo\u0159\u00ed pod\u00edl elektromobil\u016f na nov\u011b registrovan\u00fdch vozidlech 1,4 procenta a je dvakr\u00e1t vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e p\u0159ed rokem. P\u0159i koupi je velkou motivac\u00ed ekologick\u00fd bonus. N\u011bme\u010dt\u00ed v\u00fdrobci z\u00e1rove\u0148 cht\u011bj\u00ed do roku 2020 d\u00e1le roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it nab\u00eddku model\u016f elektromobil\u016f, a to z\u00a0dne\u0161n\u00edch 30 na zhruba 100.<\/p>\n

KS<\/em><\/strong>: Doprava se v N\u011bmecku pod\u00edl\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 20 procenty na emis\u00edch CO2<\/sub> a 38 procenty na emis\u00edch oxid\u016f dus\u00edku. Elektromobilita proto nen\u00ed pouhou volbou, ale jedinou mo\u017enost\u00ed, jak v\u016fbec zajistit rostouc\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed pot\u0159ebu mobility a z\u00e1rove\u0148 splnit klimatick\u00e9 c\u00edle EU.<\/p>\n

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M\u011bn\u00ed Carsharing trh?<\/span><\/h4>\n

MW<\/em><\/strong>: V\u0161ichni v\u00edme, \u017ee m\u011bsta rostou a t\u00edm p\u00e1dem roste i m\u011bstsk\u00fd provoz. Proto pot\u0159ebujeme inteligentn\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. Doprava by m\u011bla b\u00fdt i v\u00a0budoucnu efektivn\u00ed, \u0161etrn\u00e1 k\u00a0\u017eivotn\u00edmu prost\u0159ed\u00ed a bezpe\u010dn\u00e1. Jedn\u00edm z\u00a0n\u00e1stroj\u016f, kter\u00fd m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159isp\u011bt k\u00a0odleh\u010den\u00ed infrastruktury, je carsharing, tzn. sd\u00edlen\u00ed aut (viz tak\u00e9 rozhovor na str. 38-39, pozn. redakce). C\u00edlem n\u011bmeck\u00fdch v\u00fdrobc\u016f automobil\u016f je, aby ve dvaceti nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch n\u011bmeck\u00fdch m\u011bstech do roku 2020 fungovala minim\u00e1ln\u011b jedna tzv. freefloatingov\u00e1 verze carsharingu. Jedn\u00e1 se o velmi obl\u00edbenou variantu, kdy z\u00e1kazn\u00edci mohou vr\u00e1tit vozidlo ve m\u011bst\u011b na libovoln\u00e9m m\u00edst\u011b, bez ohledu na to, kde si jej p\u016fj\u010dili. Od t\u00e9 doby co n\u011bme\u010dt\u00ed v\u00fdrobci zavedli tento flexibiln\u00ed koncept, vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 carsharing st\u00e1le v\u00edce lid\u00ed.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

KS<\/em><\/strong>:\u00a0Zp\u016fsob dopravy obyvatel velkom\u011bst se radik\u00e1ln\u011b zm\u011bnila. Auto \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l v\u00edce p\u0159est\u00e1v\u00e1 b\u00fdt symbolem \u00fasp\u011bchu a mnoz\u00ed jej \u010dasto pova\u017euj\u00ed pouze za dopravn\u00ed prost\u0159edek. V\u011bt\u0161ina lid\u00ed ve velk\u00fdch m\u011bstech m\u00edsto vlastn\u00edho vozidla vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 pro p\u0159epravu r\u016fzn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb \u2013 podle toho, kdy a kam se pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed dostat. Vedle taxislu\u017eby, autobusu, vlaku, kola a vlastn\u00edho automobilu m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt jako\u017eto z\u00e1klad mobility sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed kombinovan\u00e9 nab\u00eddky carsharing, vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00edc\u00ed elektromobily \u010di \u201eklasick\u00e9\u201c automobily.<\/p>\n

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Konkurenceschopnost N\u011bmecka: Role politiky?<\/span><\/h4>\n

MW<\/em><\/strong>: Z\u00a0hospod\u00e1\u0159skopolitick\u00e9ho hlediska nen\u00ed v\u00a0N\u011bmecku ani v\u00a0jin\u00fdch zem\u00edch \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd d\u016fvod polevit. Je to kv\u016fli obchodn\u00ed politice. N\u011bmecko mus\u00ed v\u00a0p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed legislativn\u00ed period\u011b op\u011bt podstatn\u011b v\u00edce pracovat na sv\u00e9 konkurenceschopnosti. To je pro automobilovou velmoc, jakou je N\u011bmecko, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm z\u00a0hlediska dodavatel\u016f, nezbytn\u00e9. A situace se p\u0159iost\u0159uje. Zam\u011bstnanost v\u00a0tuzemsku rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed m\u011brou z\u00e1vis\u00ed na exportn\u00ed s\u00edle n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu, kter\u00e1 nen\u00ed samoz\u0159ejm\u00e1. D\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e kdy v minulosti jsou otev\u0159en\u00e9 trhy a spole\u010dn\u011b s t\u00edm jasn\u00e1 obchodn\u00ed politika. Na exportn\u00ed s\u00edle je ale pot\u0159eba neust\u00e1le pracovat.<\/p>\n

KS<\/em>:\u00a0<\/strong>Pokud m\u00e1me dodr\u017eet pa\u0159\u00ed\u017eskou klimatickou dohodu, mus\u00edme do roku 2050 p\u0159ej\u00edt na alternativn\u00ed pohony. \u017divotnost automobil\u016f je zpravidla a\u017e 20 let. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee nejpozd\u011bji od roku 2030 by m\u011bla b\u00fdt povolov\u00e1na pouze registrace vozidel bez emis\u00ed. Aby n\u011bmeck\u00fd automobilov\u00fd a dodavatelsk\u00fd pr\u016fmysl z\u016fstal konkurenceschopn\u00fd, je pot\u0159eba, aby i na politick\u00e9 \u00farovni byl vyt\u00fd\u010den sm\u011br dal\u0161\u00edho v\u00fdvoje a v\u0161ichni z\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bn\u00ed tak m\u011bli pr\u00e1vn\u00ed jistotu i jistotu p\u0159i pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Progn\u00f3za v\u00fdvoje trhu:<\/span><\/h4>\n

MW<\/em><\/strong>:\u00a0Vyhl\u00eddky na rok 2017 jsou solidn\u00ed. Celosv\u011btov\u00fd trh s\u00a0osobn\u00edmi automobily vzroste o dv\u011b procenta na 84,5 milionu automobil\u016f, a to i p\u0159esto, \u017ee velk\u00e9 trhy \u2013 USA, \u010c\u00edna a Evropa \u2013 u\u017e nerostou tak dynamicky. V\u00a0N\u011bmecku o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1me, \u017ee v\u00a0leto\u0161n\u00edm roce bude vyrobeno 5,6 milionu osobn\u00edch automobil\u016f, co\u017e je o n\u011bco m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e loni (-2 procenta). To sam\u00e9 plat\u00ed i pro export (4,3 milionu osobn\u00edch automobil\u016f). Na tento v\u00fdvoj m\u00e1 vliv jednak oslaben\u00ed britsk\u00e9ho trhu a jednak rostouc\u00ed v\u00fdroba v\u00a0zahrani\u010d\u00ed. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1me, \u017ee n\u011bmeck\u00fd trh s\u00a0osobn\u00edmi automobily letos z\u016fstane na vysok\u00e9 \u00farovni 3,35 milionu nov\u011b registrovan\u00fdch vozidel. Velmi pot\u011b\u0161iteln\u00fd je v\u00fdvoj zam\u011bstnanosti v\u00a0automobilov\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b v\u00a0tomto odv\u011btv\u00ed pracuje 812 tis\u00edc lid\u00ed, co\u017e je nejv\u00edce za posledn\u00edch 26 let.<\/p>\n

KS<\/em><\/strong>:\u00a0Po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1me s\u00a0t\u00edm, \u017ee v\u00a0N\u011bmecku bude m\u00edt v roce 2025 celkem minim\u00e1ln\u011b 10 procent, tedy cca 5 milion\u016f automobil\u016f \u010dist\u011b elektrick\u00fd pohon. K\u00a0pr\u016fkopn\u00edk\u016fm v\u00a0t\u00e9to oblasti pat\u0159\u00ed firemn\u00ed vozov\u00e9 parky, mal\u00e9 a st\u0159edn\u00ed podniky a u\u017eivatel\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou otev\u0159eni nov\u00e9 mobilit\u011b. Tato progn\u00f3za ov\u0161em zcela z\u00e1sadn\u011b z\u00e1vis\u00ed na z\u00e1konod\u00e1rn\u00fdch r\u00e1mcov\u00fdch podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch. Pokud budou zv\u00fdhodn\u011bny spalovac\u00ed motory, bude po\u010det elektromobil\u016f mnohem ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed. Pokud se n\u00e1m ale poda\u0159\u00ed zm\u011bnit r\u00e1mcov\u00e9 podm\u00ednky tak, aby byla podporov\u00e1na doprava s\u00a0n\u00edzk\u00fdmi emisemi, bude jich mnohem v\u00edce. Z\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed tedy pouze na n\u00e1s, zda se rozhodneme pro technologie, kter\u00e9 \u0161kod\u00ed klimatu a zdrav\u00ed, nebo se p\u0159ipoj\u00edme ke glob\u00e1ln\u00edmu megatrendu a vyd\u00e1me se cestou l\u00eddr\u016f trhu a p\u0159edn\u00edch dodavatel\u016f.<\/p>\n

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Zdroj \u00favodn\u00ed fotky:\u00a0pixabay, werner22brigitte<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

VW, Mercedes, Audi, BMW, Porsche\u2026 Z\u00a0mont\u00e1\u017en\u00edch linek sjede v\u00a0N\u011bmecku ka\u017ed\u00fdm rokem t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u0161est milion\u016f vozidel, automobilky a jejich dodavatel\u00e9 zam\u011bstn\u00e1vaj\u00ed p\u0159es 800 tis\u00edc lid\u00ed. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":976,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[22,42,25],"tags":[43,162,171,173,237],"class_list":["post-942","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analyse-cz","category-plus-042017","category-analyza-de-nur-tschechisch","tag-carsharing","tag-mobilitaet","tag-elektroautos","tag-autoindustrie","tag-deutschland"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.0","language":"cz","enabled_languages":["de","cz"],"languages":{"de":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"cz":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true}}},"yoast_head":"\nBudoucnost automobil\u016f a mobility v N\u011bmecku - 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